Paul Kelly analyzes Fantasy Points projections to uncover significant discrepancies for making smart player prop and touchdown bets.
Each week, you’ll find recommended player prop bets based on discrepancies and “anytime” touchdown scorer bets. Week 8 was the first losing week on player props, so now the focus is on regaining momentum in Week 9.
Paul started by manually comparing John Hansen’s player projections to sportsbook player props to spot the biggest differences and betting value. This process used to be done manually but is now streamlined by a prop finder tool that highlights key discrepancies. From there, selections are made based on the best opportunities while shopping for the highest odds across sportsbooks.
"Looking to get an edge over the sportsbooks, a handful of years ago, I started manually comparing each of John Hansen’s player projections to the player props offered by the books. I looked for the largest discrepancies between John’s numbers and the books’ numbers to identify betting opportunities."
Author’s summary: Paul Kelly reliably identifies valuable betting opportunities by comparing expert projections with sportsbook lines, consistently delivering profitable player prop bets.