NFL playoff picture ahead of Week 10

NFL Playoff Picture Ahead of Week 10

According to recent simulations by PFF, the Steelers hold a 75% probability of reaching the playoffs if they secure a Week 10 victory. However, that likelihood drops to 42% should they lose the matchup.

The playoff landscape is expected to shift throughout the rest of the season, making the current outlook only a temporary snapshot. This is why evaluating PFF’s projected playoff picture is valuable—it estimates each team’s chances of qualifying for the postseason.

Playoff Probability Overview

The accompanying charts outline each team's projected playoff probabilities and playoff leverage. These visuals represent how the odds fluctuate depending on game outcomes.

"Naturally, it’s unlikely the playoff picture will remain constant over the remainder of the season."

Summary

PFF’s data highlights how each team's playoff fate pivots dramatically on weekly results, underscoring the volatility of the NFL season.

Author’s summary: PFF projections show how single-game outcomes sharply reshape NFL playoff odds heading into Week 10, with the Steelers’ fate a key example.

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PFF PFF — 2025-11-06

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